Barasa claims the two see Kalonzo as a political obstacle that must be weakened early, even if he is not viewed as a serious threat to Ruto’s re-election.
According to Barasa, Gachagua believes the 2027 contest is largely settled in Ruto’s favor and does not require an all-out political fight.
From this viewpoint, Barasa argues, Gachagua’s focus has shifted away from short-term battles toward long-term positioning within Kenya’s evolving political order.
Barasa alleges that the strategy involves subtle political maneuvers designed to sideline Kalonzo and reduce his influence within opposition and swing-vote regions.
He claims this approach is meant to prevent Kalonzo from consolidating support that could complicate future succession politics.
Central to the claims is the suggestion that Gachagua is quietly expanding his reach beyond his traditional base while maintaining a working relationship with Ruto.
Barasa says this delicate balance allows Gachagua to remain relevant in government-aligned circles while also preparing for a future national bid.
The alleged plan, according to Barasa, includes cultivating relationships with key regional leaders to reshape alliances ahead of the post-2027 era.
He argues that weakening Kalonzo now would leave space for new political figures to emerge when succession debates intensify.
If true, Barasa’s allegations paint a picture of high-level political chess being played far from the public eye. Whether this strategy succeeds or fuels new rivalries could significantly influence Kenya’s political direction in the years leading to 2032.
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