Caleb Amisi Threatens to Leave ODM Months After Raila's Death

Saboti Member of Parliament Caleb Amisi has issued a sharp warning to the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), threatening to quit the party if it continues its political cooperation with President William Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance (UDA).

Speaking on Thursday, January 1, 2026, Amisi set March 9, 2026, as the deadline for ODM to reassess its relationship with the ruling administration. 

He said failure to disengage from what he termed a dangerous political arrangement would compel him to make a decisive move that could significantly reshape Kenya’s political landscape.

“I said on March 9, if ODM is still propagating the Ruto shenanigans, then I am going to make an announcement that will shape Kenyan politics and destroy William Ruto politically,” Amisi said during his remarks.

The outspoken legislator warned that continued collaboration with the government risks eroding ODM’s national character and reducing it to a regional outfit, similar to the decline experienced by the once-dominant Kenya African National Union (KANU).

Amisi expressed concern that ODM, which rose to national prominence as a mass movement under the late former Prime Minister Raila Odinga, is rapidly losing its ideological identity following Raila’s death on October 15, 2025.

According to the MP, ODM’s growing proximity to the Ruto administration has weakened its ability to function as an effective opposition party and undermined the confidence of its grassroots supporters.

He singled out ODM’s pro-government faction, led by party leader Oburu Odinga, Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga, and National Assembly Minority Leader Junet Mohamed, accusing them of steering the party toward political compromise at the expense of principle.

“Once a political party loses its identity and vibrance, reviving it becomes extremely difficult,” Amisi warned, adding that ODM risks alienating its support base if it continues to blur the line between opposition and government.

The MP also took aim at the broader opposition landscape, criticizing the emerging United Opposition coalition that includes former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, Eugene Wamalwa, Fred Matiang’i, Trans Nzoia Governor George Natembeya, Martha Karua, and Kalonzo Musyoka.

Amisi dismissed the coalition’s approach as ineffective, arguing that it lacks a clear strategy to challenge President Ruto in the 2027 general elections.

“Opposition must be real. It cannot be about endless press conferences, church services, or attending funerals every day. That is not how you confront power,” he said.

He stressed that meaningful opposition requires presenting a credible alternative leadership and policy direction, rather than relying solely on rallies and public statements.

Internal divisions within ODM have deepened since Raila Odinga’s death, with rival factions battling over the party’s future direction ahead of the 2027 polls. 

The disagreements have exposed ideological rifts between leaders advocating cooperation with the government and those pushing for a firm opposition stance.

Adding to the uncertainty, Co-operatives and MSMEs Cabinet Secretary Wycliffe Oparanya recently indicated that he would be willing to leave ODM if doing so would help unite the Western Kenya region. 

Speaking during the funeral of the late businessman and politician Cyrus Jirongo on December 30, Oparanya said regional unity was more important than party loyalty.

Meanwhile, Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna and Embakasi East MP Babu Owino have openly criticized ODM’s alliance with UDA, arguing that it weakens the party’s oversight role and betrays the expectations of its supporters.

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