Speaking during an interview on TV47 Breakfast on Thursday morning, Sossion dismissed the chances of the Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP), the political outfit associated with former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua.
According to Sossion, UDA still enjoys overwhelming support in the constituency and across the wider Rift Valley region, making it difficult for the opposition-backed candidate to stage a serious challenge.
“UDA will not lose in the Emurua Dikirr by-election. That’s a fact. DCP will not even get past 20%; it would be a miracle,” Sossion stated during the live interview.
His remarks come as voting continues in the closely watched mini-poll that has attracted national political attention due to the growing rivalry between UDA and Gachagua’s newly launched DCP outfit.
Political observers have described the by-election as one of the earliest indicators of shifting political loyalties in the Rift Valley ahead of the 2027 General Election.
The contest has also been viewed as a direct test of Gachagua’s influence outside his Mt Kenya political base following his fallout with sections of the Kenya Kwanza administration.
In recent days, Gachagua and leaders allied to the opposition camp intensified campaigns in the constituency, portraying the race as a referendum on the popularity of the ruling administration.
Opposition leaders have argued that dissatisfaction over the cost of living and governance concerns could influence voter decisions during the by-election.
However, UDA leaders have maintained confidence in retaining the seat, citing the party’s established grassroots structures and long-standing political dominance in Narok County and the broader South Rift region.
Analysts note that the outcome of the by-election could shape future political narratives ahead of 2027, particularly regarding whether opposition forces can make inroads into regions traditionally perceived as UDA strongholds.
The Emurua Dikirr parliamentary seat fell vacant following the death of former area MP Johana Ng'eno, triggering the mini-poll.
Since the start of campaigns, both the ruling side and opposition coalition have invested heavily in mobilising supporters and consolidating influence in the constituency.
The DCP-backed side has attempted to position itself as an emerging political alternative capable of challenging UDA’s dominance in the Rift Valley.
At the same time, UDA supporters insist the region remains firmly behind President Ruto and the ruling party despite growing political competition.
Voting has continued peacefully in most polling stations, with the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) assuring residents of a transparent and credible electoral process.
Security officers were also deployed across parts of the constituency to maintain order and ensure smooth voting operations.
Results from the by-election are expected later Thursday night or early Friday morning, with political leaders and observers keenly watching whether the outcome will validate UDA’s confidence or signal growing opposition influence in the region.
The by-election is expected to provide an early glimpse into the evolving political dynamics shaping the road to the 2027 General Election.
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