For nearly two decades, Raila built ODM into Kenya’s most influential opposition force, leading it through elections, reforms, and national conversations.
His passing on October 15, 2025, has left a gap that current leaders must now work together to fill.
According to political analysts, ODM’s survival depends on how its top officials handle leadership, unity, and succession.
Commentator Martin Chomba says the party’s current structure is strong enough to protect Raila’s legacy if leaders remain focused and cooperative.
Wanga’s approach, he says, shows that women can now play major roles in national political leadership.
Siaya Governor James Orengo, who commands respect within the party, is seen as the bridge between the old and new ODM.
Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, on the other hand, is viewed as the youthful, modern voice who can connect with the country’s growing urban voter base.
Chomba also points to Mombasa Governor Abdulswamad Nassir, Kisumu Governor Anyang’ Nyong’o, and Cabinet Secretaries Hassan Joho and Wycliffe Oparanya as experienced leaders capable of steering ODM through transition.
However, internal disagreements continue to surface, especially after Sifuna publicly rejected the idea of ODM working closely with President William Ruto’s government.
During Raila’s burial in Bondo, Sifuna told supporters that the late opposition chief had urged them to prepare for the 2027 elections, not partnerships with the ruling party.
Some governors have since accused Sifuna of dividing the party, but analysts believe his strong stance could help keep ODM independent.
Chomba suggests that ODM’s future may lie in collective leadership, not a single powerful figure.
He proposes the formation of a “Council of Leaders” made up of senior party figures to guide decisions and mentor younger politicians.
He adds, “Raila’s ODM was built on courage and ideals. The next ODM must be built on teamwork and shared wisdom if it is to remain relevant.”
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