The warning comes after UDA’s sweeping victories across multiple constituencies, signaling a strong and organized ground presence that the opposition struggles to match.
In a statement shared online, Thuku emphasized that social media followership is no substitute.
The analysis points to UDA consolidating grassroots loyalty, with voters increasingly seeing the party as their default choice for the next general elections.
Meanwhile, former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua’s allies continue to drive the narrative that ODM is in decline.
Hon Kanini Kega, the EALA MP, did not mince words, describing the party as “awaiting its final rites,” a stark warning about its diminishing influence in Mt Kenya’s political strongholds.
Political watchers say UDA’s strategy is clear: convert short-term by-election wins into long-term loyalty.
While the opposition continues to post updates, memes, and mobilization messages online, the party’s ability to translate digital hype into actual votes appears limited.
Ground operations, rallies, and door-to-door campaigns remain the decisive factor, and UDA has mastered that equation.
The implications for 2027 are already stirring debate. Analysts predict that Mt Kenya could deliver an unprecedented bloc of support to UDA, effectively reshaping alliances and making it difficult for traditional opposition forces to gain traction.
Frustration is visible in opposition quarters, with online arguments and criticism failing to match the political organization on the ground.
As Thuku points out, voters remember which party delivered during by-elections, and loyalty tends to persist. UDA’s wins may just be the start of a long-term political wave in the region, leaving the opposition with little room to maneuver.
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